Financial model · November 5, 2026
1YFE Inc. five-year plan and valuation
Change any assumption and every statement line and all five valuation methods update instantly.
- 2030 revenue
- $6.4M
- 2026–2030 revenue CAGR
- 89%
- 2030 EBITDA margin
- 30%
- Enterprise value (indicative)
- $4.8M
- Equity value after discount
- $3.6M
- Revenue
- EBITDA
- Free cash flow
| Line item | 2026A/E | 2027F | 2028F | 2029F | 2030F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $500K | $1.25M | $2.50M | $4.25M | $6.38M |
| Growth | — | 150.0% | 100.0% | 70.0% | 50.0% |
| Gross profit | $350K | $875K | $1.75M | $2.98M | $4.46M |
| Operating expenses | $375K | $775K | $1.30M | $1.91M | $2.55M |
| EBITDA | ($25K) | $100K | $450K | $1.06M | $1.91M |
| EBITDA margin | -5.0% | 8.0% | 18.0% | 25.0% | 30.0% |
| Cash taxes | $0 | $27K | $119K | $282K | $507K |
| Reinvestment | $0 | $75K | $125K | $175K | $213K |
| Free cash flow | ($25K) | ($2K) | $206K | $606K | $1.19M |
- Discounted cash flow$2.0M
- Revenue multiple$6.3M
- Cost to recreate$2.5M
- Venture capital method$4.6M
- Scorecard method$9.2M
- Concluded value$4.8M
- 01Weight 30%
Income approach
Discounted cash flow
$2.0M
$1.6M to $2.6M
Free cash flow for 2027 to 2030 discounted at a venture-stage rate, plus a terminal value.
- Discount rate 35%
- Terminal growth 5%
- Terminal value $1.3M today
- 02Weight 30%
Market approach
Revenue multiple
$6.3M
$3.8M to $10.0M
Next-twelve-months revenue at multiples seen across AI services and AI-native software.
- 2027 revenue $1.3M
- 3.0x to 8.0x EV/Revenue
- 03Weight 10%
Asset approach
Cost to recreate
$2.5M
$1.8M to $3.6M
What it would cost to rebuild the measured codebase with senior Canadian engineers. A floor value.
- 110,568 lines measured
- 2,262 engineer-days
- $900 per day loaded
- 04Weight 15%
Investor return
Venture capital method
$4.6M
$3.5M to $6.2M
2030 exit value, reduced for future dilution and discounted at a target investor return.
- Exit at 4x 2030 revenue
- Target return 40%
- Ownership kept 70%
- 05Weight 15%
Qualitative benchmark
Scorecard method
$9.2M
$7.9M to $10.6M
A regional seed-stage benchmark adjusted across seven weighted factors.
- Benchmark $8.0M
- Adjustment ×1.16
Methodology
- The three approaches a 409A appraiser uses are applied first: income, market and asset. Two venture methods (VC and Scorecard) are added for an early-stage company.
- The Berkus method is excluded: it values pre-revenue companies and 1YFE Inc. reports $500K of 2026 revenue.
- EBITDA stands in for operating profit because an asset-light studio has immaterial depreciation. Net debt is assumed to be zero.
- A discount for lack of marketability converts enterprise value into an indicative value for a minority, non-traded interest.
- Per-share common value needs the capitalization table and is not calculated here.
Indicative analysis prepared by management, valued as of November 5, 2026, in Canadian dollars. It is not a formal IRC §409A valuation, a Canadian fair-market-value opinion, an audit or an offer to sell securities. A safe-harbour 409A or Chartered Business Valuator opinion requires an independent appraiser, reviewed financial statements and the capitalization table. Forecasts are assumptions, not guarantees.